Bill Sykes' Newsletter
from America.
(April 2005)
An ex-Brit gives his views - (without
fear or favor) - of the American Scene
Last word:
 Based upon a visit that my
wife and I made to China in 1992, I calculated using a
rough order of magnitude assessment of population growth,
rapid increase in China’s
gross national product and other pertinent factors, that
by the year 2012, (plus five years - dependent of course
upon when mainland China decided to invade Taiwan), China
would become the world’s leading economic power.
You the reader will perhaps have noticed that I have forecast a number of times
during the last three years in editions of, "View from America",
that mainland China will eventually invade Taiwan, and I’m pretty sure
that will happen within the next five years if Taiwan continues to promote
the idea of becoming an independent nation.
The enactment by the government of China of an anti-secession law on Monday
the 6th of March 2005 could indicate that China is preparing to attack Taiwan,
and the time span that I forecast for such an act so many years ago is coming
ever closer,
Article 8, of the new anti-secession law states that
if Taiwan moves towards a formal declaration of independence,
mainland China will have no other option other than to
employ "non-peaceful" means in order to enforce
Beijing’s long standing demand that Taiwan must
acknowledge that it is an integral part of China.
 Ever since certain elements of the Chinese military, (under the command of
General Chiang Kai Shek), fled mainland China in 1949 and went across the straights
of Formosa to the Island of Formosa, (which they renamed the Island of Taiwan),
and adopted the title of the Republic of China declaring themselves to be an
independent sovereign state, mainland China’s ruling party have consistently
denied the so-called sovereign state and still considers Taiwan to be Chinese
territory.
Although the United States formally recognizes the
Beijing government of mainland China they have sold arms
to Taiwan and have pledged to help defend the island
of 23 million people should it be attacked by mainland
China.
If and when China finally does make the decision to invade Taiwan I would suggest
that this would certainly be a signal for North Korea to make a move on South
Korea.
Both these scenarios are on the cards, and its not the if part, but the when
part of the equation that really concerns me.
Disclaimer:
Some of the information
gathered for this newsletter is gleaned from American
and International media sources, (including the Internet),
and as such is quoted as accurately as possible. I try
to obtain confirmation on each subject from several outlets,
so the text is a mixture of composite news items and
personal comments and therefore the reader must make
his/her own judgement as to the reliability and degree
of accuracy of the subjects discussed.
Eric (Bill) Sykes. (California).
We welcome feedback about any of the contents of these
newsletters. Please send all correspondence to bill_sykes@huddersfield1.co.uk
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